Casimira Partners Research · Second Annual Edition · March 2026

Where Decision Integrity Breaks in Financial Services

Seven high-stakes use cases. Three structural dimensions. An enforcement-grounded audit of the architectural failures that produce billion-dollar penalties—even when the software works exactly as designed.

"The software got smarter. The decision path didn't."
Three Hardest Findings
$3.09 billion. 92% of transactions unmonitored.

AML monitoring is red across all three dimensions. TD Bank's settlement revealed that the architecture was in place, the dashboards were populated, and the software was capable. The failure occurred between the components.

1.2 seconds per claim review.

Claims adjudication operates on a fiction of human oversight. When deviation limits constrain reviewers to within 1% of algorithmic output and appeal reversals never reach the models that produced the original denials, governance as described does not match what happens in production.

97% of reports contained inaccuracies.

Regulatory reporting achieves Clarity in definitions but collapses in Coherence. An analysis of 31 firms found each report was affected by an average of more than 30 separate error types. The definitions are clear. The data architecture is fragmented.

The Map

Seven use cases scored against Clarity, Coherence, and Continuity

Use Case Clarity Coherence Continuity Consequence
Credit Origination AMBER AMBER AMBER Fair lending risk
KYC / Identity GREEN AMBER AMBER Synthetic identity gaps
Fraud Detection GREEN AMBER AMBER Model drift
AML Monitoring RED RED RED Billion-dollar penalties
Collections GREEN AMBER AMBER Empathy paradox
Reg. Reporting GREEN RED AMBER 97% inaccuracy
Claims Adjudication AMBER RED RED Class action exposure

Green does not mean safe. It means the regulatory framework and architectural patterns are mature enough that a well-implemented platform can satisfy the requirement.

What's in the report

Seven Use Case Audits

Credit origination through claims adjudication. Each scored against the Three Cs with enforcement evidence and regulatory citations.

Four Cross-Cutting Patterns

Algorithmic Inertia, the Measurability Gap, Fragmented Observability, and the Missing Junior Loop — patterns that recur across every use case.

The Three Cs Framework

Clarity, Coherence, and Continuity as testable properties of a production system. Operational definitions grounded in regulatory requirements.

15-Question Self-Audit

Designed to run in a 45-minute architecture review. Each question references a specific use case and regulatory standard.

Download the full report

55 pages of enforcement-grounded research. No sales pitch. Just the structural audit and the self-assessment instrument.

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Todd Rollin

Co-Founder, Casimira Partners

15+ years in enterprise go-to-market. 8 years positioning FICO's decision management platform across fraud detection, optimization, and real-time decisioning. Co-author of Decision Terrain 2025 and 2026. Builder of patent-pending diagnostic infrastructure that measures what dashboards and AI tools confidently skip right over.